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Non-OPEC producers (countries not members of OPEC - the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries) produced 62% of the world's oil (total liquids) in 2003. Since 1970, non-OPEC production as a share of world total oil production reached a high of 71% in 1985 and a low of 48% in 1973, with a 60% average. One of the major influences on the supply of Crude Oil is the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, or OPEC. Non-OPEC countries share the following characteristics: Because most major non-OPEC countries have private oil sectors
(with the exception of Mexico), their governments generally have very little control over production levels. Companies react to international price expectations, exploring and drilling more and in higher cost areas when prices are high, and focusing on lower-cost production when prices are low.
Non-OPEC production costs tend to be higher than OPEC lifting costs, which makes non-OPEC producers more vulnerable to price collapses. Prolonged periods of low prices can drive higher cost producers out of business, and make major oil companies focus less on higher cost areas. Phil Flynn, Vice President, Energy and General Market Analyst with Alaron Futures and Options (www.AlaronEnergies.com), is one of the world's leading energy market analysts. Phil heads the Alaron Energies Futures Brokerage Division offering brokerage services to individual investors, professional traders and institutions. Phil provides up-to-the-minute investment and risk management insight into global petroleum, gasoline and energy markets. Phil and his energy team were one of the first to predict that global crude oil prices would exceed $30/barrel in the year 2000, a correctly predicted market milestone that has highlighted the economic scene in the new millennium. Phil also called the rise of retail gas prices in 2001. Most recently, Phil Flynn has again accurately predicted that global crude oil prices would reach close to $40/barrel ($39.99/barrel) in 2004. Through hundreds of media interviews, Phil Flynn and Alaron Futures and Options have become familiar names in living rooms and boardrooms worldwide. The world's print, broadcast, online media and small businesses have come to rely on Phil's accurate and animated forecasts, analysis, speculative and hedging opportunities. Open an account with Phil Flynn today! Contact Phil at 1.800.935.6487 or pflynn@alaron.com. commodities broker | energy analysis | oil trading | non OPEC producers | Phil Flynn | trading crude oil | oil majors | energy analyst | energy trading |
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